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The Devil’s Kitchen: CRUdGate – Why this can’t be swept under the carpet

This is a brilliant take down of the AGW crowd. Click on through!

(NB, It’s me, the P-G)
As others have commented, ad nauseam, the response from the proponents of AGW essentially boils down to the following main components:

  • The mail (often there is only one, not several thousand threads of multiple mails and it’s usually only mail, rather mail, code, data and commentary) was hacked and that’s frightfully naughty. Aren’t hackers nasty? Particularly when they are Russian.

This does not merit any response beyond laughter.

  • The science is peer reviewed and it withstood that process.

Still an appeal to authority and, more importantly, dealt with damningly here.

  • This is but one part of the literature, it’s only a handful of bad apples and the structure is utterly unchanged even without it.

This is the main charge that our great friend George Monbiot lays out here and that must be tackled. That is what, with your permission, I shall make a hesitant attempt to start the process to do.
Firstly, we must understand how the whole thing hangs together, because the edifice of AGW is very definitely not just pure science, boffins in white coats in labs and so forth. It spans the whole gamut from real pure science, through the applied sciences and Engineering, passing through economics and finally ending up in the dark arts of Politics and Diplomacy. That’s a lot to take in, so I have created a handy diagram that explains. Never let it be said that your polymathematic Pedant-General makes you do the hard work.
Let’s start at the top, and bear with me.

  • If the climate and recent changes are not unprecedented, then there’s nothing to do. Let’s go to the pub.
  • If it is unprecedented, then we need to know why. If we don’t know if it is unprecedented or if we don’t know why, we need to stop here until we can find out.
  • If it is unprecedented but it’s not us, then we need to question seriously if there is anything that we can do about it and the answer to that is very very likely to be "no".
  • If it is us, we then to move into economics. Will the damage outweigh the benefit?
  • And even if the damage does outweigh the benefit, we still need to consider if the cost of stopping the climate change at source is less than the cost of adapting to the problem to minimise the damage.
  • And even if the mitigation does cost less than adaptation, we need to ask if our only option for mitigation is to subborn all our freedom to a putative benevolent world government.

The Devil’s Kitchen: CRUdGate – Why this can’t be swept under the carpet

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